Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 75219.632563 79489.943238 83765.161366 88363.363318 93165.994097 98031.021507 103328.697802
2025-12-14 67730.588124 74190.249996 80843.270153 88198.102946 96091.397784 104298.637802 113467.915817
2025-12-21 62626.520664 70585.337876 78968.183932 88436.490885 98813.762279 109821.496838 122360.947707
2025-12-28 59481.427312 68650.304053 78488.435233 89797.931559 102406.740688 115998.791741 131724.891199
2026-01-04 56715.083762 66839.180228 77880.287474 90768.718020 105351.514550 121290.251470 139977.640739
2026-01-11 54169.514097 65062.341748 77117.902099 91385.835885 107743.807288 125843.589090 147314.689815
2026-01-18 51672.418589 63170.768041 76071.612815 91535.520086 109480.604116 129560.266229 153634.805694
2026-01-25 49504.251470 61528.834959 75192.943265 91765.981803 111213.872840 133199.810870 159817.054027
2026-02-01 47379.888217 59825.052963 74139.455894 91696.083817 112515.793292 136280.392196 165312.962652
2026-02-08 45891.444194 58799.313376 73813.069664 92417.435133 114692.835931 140343.243496 171938.631492
2026-02-15 44131.580879 57364.004247 72925.273297 92402.370691 115941.843419 143279.303810 177221.249890
2026-02-22 43156.732453 56838.008679 73088.719193 93614.281888 118631.066987 147907.035861 184515.275511
2026-03-01 42006.910488 56063.715723 72929.828548 94428.089833 120852.773533 152013.065879 191254.266228
2026-03-08 40529.588712 54825.166960 72153.581455 94445.002488 122077.670594 154911.559198 196552.700411
2026-03-15 39282.624453 53829.191937 71634.765306 94741.483836 123616.077324 158173.780526 202293.309129
2026-03-22 38661.947826 53604.015008 72056.181906 96192.087166 126571.767998 163166.495264 210165.085697
2026-03-29 37888.550216 53148.527838 72159.447460 97221.422896 128992.486720 167507.021968 217260.076952
2026-04-05 36992.035565 52498.226970 71985.266690 97874.738685 130926.774091 171245.471768 223627.840263
2026-04-12 35927.427027 51589.613213 71446.485743 98033.190541 132215.241826 174173.145499 228996.073418
2026-04-19 34954.762600 50770.573213 70994.326547 98276.976259 133593.161793 177204.189952 234499.209702
2026-04-26 33897.660434 49804.217138 70318.943527 98203.053908 134542.966481 179686.312081 239316.033854
2026-05-03 33233.891822 49348.766566 70296.459157 98965.983027 136561.271432 183518.307584 245849.361563
2026-05-10 32289.621544 48480.135420 69699.675494 98950.051316 137553.651340 186041.360066 250731.324106